Increased Storm Probability Overnight, Severe Weather Possible Monday

Axel S�rensen

4 min read

Post on May 21, 2025

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The National Weather Service has issued a warning regarding a sharp increase in the probability of severe storms overnight, with a high likelihood of severe weather impacting the region on Monday. This article provides crucial information on what to expect, how to prepare, and what safety measures to take to minimize the impact of this significant weather event. Understanding the increased storm probability is key to ensuring your safety and the safety of your loved ones.

Overnight Storm Development and Prediction

Timing and Location

The storm is predicted to arrive in the region between 10 PM Sunday and 2 AM Monday. Areas most likely to be affected include Springfield, Oakhaven, and surrounding counties. The storm's intensity is expected to peak between 2 AM and 6 AM Monday.

• Expected Start Time: 10 PM Sunday
• Expected End Time (Initial Phase): 6 AM Monday
• Areas at Highest Risk: Springfield, Oakhaven, Millwood County, and surrounding rural areas.

Our prediction utilizes the latest data from the Global Forecast System (GFS) and the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) weather models, indicating a high confidence level in the storm's development and trajectory.

Storm Intensity and Potential Hazards

The storm system is predicted to bring significant hazards. Expect powerful winds, potentially reaching speeds of up to 60 mph (97 km/h) in the most affected areas. Rainfall totals could exceed 3 inches (76 mm) in some locations, leading to a substantial risk of flash flooding. There's also a moderate risk of tornadoes, particularly between 2 AM and 4 AM Monday. The possibility of large hail, exceeding 1 inch in diameter, cannot be ruled out.

• Predicted Wind Speeds: Up to 60 mph (97 km/h)
• Expected Rainfall: Up to 3 inches (76 mm)
• Tornado Risk: Moderate (Level 3 out of 5)
• Hail Risk: Possible, with hail larger than 1 inch in diameter.

Monday's Severe Weather Outlook

Continued Threats

While the most intense phase of the storm is expected overnight, severe weather threats will likely persist into Monday. Strong winds and the potential for flash flooding remain significant concerns throughout the day. The risk of tornadoes diminishes but doesn’t disappear entirely.

• Persistent High Winds: Expect sustained winds of 20-30 mph (32-48 km/h) with gusts up to 40 mph (64 km/h).
• Flash Flooding Potential: Saturated ground and heavy overnight rain increase the risk of flash flooding, especially in low-lying areas.
• Lingering Tornado Threat: While reduced, the possibility of isolated tornadoes cannot be entirely excluded.

Impact on Daily Activities

The severe weather is likely to cause significant disruptions to daily life. School closures are highly probable. Significant delays and potential cancellations are expected for public transportation, including buses and trains. Widespread power outages are anticipated, potentially lasting several hours or even longer.

• School Closures: Highly likely. Check local news for updates.
• Transportation Delays: Expect significant delays and potential cancellations.
• Power Outages: Widespread outages are anticipated.

Safety Precautions and Preparedness

Protecting Your Home and Family

Taking proactive steps can significantly reduce the risk to your home and family. Now is the time to prepare for potential power outages and other severe weather-related issues.

• Secure Outdoor Objects: Bring in loose furniture, debris, and anything that could be blown around by strong winds.
• Charge Electronic Devices: Ensure all cell phones, tablets, and other electronic devices are fully charged.
• Gather Emergency Supplies: Stock up on bottled water, non-perishable food, a first-aid kit, flashlights, and batteries.
• Develop a Communication Plan: Establish a plan for how family members will communicate with each other during and after the storm.

Staying Safe During the Storm

Your safety is paramount during a severe weather event. Knowing how to react to various situations is critical.

• Stay Indoors: Remain indoors during the height of the storm.
• Avoid Flooded Areas: Never drive or walk through floodwaters.
• Seek Shelter: If a tornado warning is issued, immediately seek shelter in a sturdy interior room, such as a basement or interior closet.
• Stay Informed: Continuously monitor local news and weather alerts for updates.

Conclusion

The increased probability of severe storms overnight and the potential for severe weather on Monday necessitates immediate preparedness. The anticipated strong winds, heavy rainfall, and potential for tornadoes and flash flooding highlight the need for proactive safety measures. Remember to secure your home, gather emergency supplies, and stay informed about weather updates.

Stay safe and informed about the increased storm probability by checking the latest weather updates and taking the necessary precautions. Prepare for potential severe weather on Monday. Monitor local news channels and the National Weather Service website for the most up-to-date information. Your safety and preparedness are crucial in mitigating the impact of this severe weather event.